Clarifying Consequences

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Change my mind: we should define and measure the effectiveness of advanced AI
Epistemic status: trying to bait you into responding. Artificial Intelligence safety researchers are concerned with the behaviour of “highly capable” AI…
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David Johnston
New
Forecasting: competitions vs consultants
Let’s say you have an important question about something that will happen in the future. When will broadly superhuman AI be created, if it ever is? If…
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David Johnston
Forecasting war is different to forecasting a coin flip
To properly understand forecasts of future events, we have to remember that we're always learning more about them
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David Johnston
1
Strong AI is a dangerous technology
AI safety has been discussed a fair bit from many points of view, and there are many arguments about how it could be addressed, when it should be…
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David Johnston
Coming soon
This is Clarifying Consequences, a newsletter about catastrophic risk, decision making, forecasting.
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David Johnston
Clarifying Consequences
Catastrophic risk, decision making, forecasting

Clarifying Consequences

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